Threes Made
65.1%
54-29 · 83 GP
NBA 2025–26
Matas Buzelis
Chicago Bulls
Threes Made 65.1% Over (83 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Rebounds
50.6%
41-40 · 81 GP
Points
46.3%
37-43 · 80 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
48.4%
30-32 · 62 GP
Assists
42.9%
21-28 · 49 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
OVER LEAN
feature
Over Rate
65.1%
Record
54-29
Average
2.5
Median
2.0
Games Played
83
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
70.8%
Record
34-14
Average
2.0
GP at Line
48
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 83.9% | — | 31 |
| AWAY | 77.8% | — | 27 |
| MID season | 76.0% | — | 25 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.6%
Record
41-40
Average
5.7
Median
6.0
Games Played
81
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
48.4%
Record
15-16
Average
6.0
GP at Line
31
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
FanDuel
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 33.3% | — | 18 |
| Rest: 1 | 38.9% | — | 18 |
| AWAY | 69.2% | — | 13 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 15.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.3%
Record
37-43
Average
16.4
Median
16.0
Games Played
80
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 15.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
6-9
Average
15.1
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| vs FAST pace | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 44.4% | — | 9 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 22.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.4%
Record
30-32
Average
23.7
Median
24.5
Games Played
62
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 22.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
5-5
Average
22.3
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 8 |
| Rest: 1 | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| vs FAST pace | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
21-28
Average
2.2
Median
2.0
Games Played
49
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
39.1%
Record
9-14
Average
1.5
GP at Line
23
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 12 |
| HOME | 27.3% | — | 11 |
| Rest: 1 | 63.6% | — | 11 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.