Threes Made
52.7%
29-26 · 55 GP
NBA 2025–26
Michael Porter Jr.
Brooklyn Nets
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Threes Made 52.7% (55 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
64.8%
35-19 · 54 GP
Rebounds
51.9%
28-26 · 54 GP
Assists
51.9%
27-25 · 52 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
56.9%
29-22 · 51 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
52.7%
Record
29-26
Average
3.6
Median
4.0
Games Played
55
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
55.6%
Record
20-16
Average
3.7
GP at Line
36
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 58.3% | — | 24 |
| vs FAST pace | 45.0% | — | 20 |
| HOME | 55.0% | — | 20 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 24.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
64.8%
Record
35-19
Average
25.3
Median
26.0
Games Played
54
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 24.5
Over Rate
70.0%
Record
7-3
Average
27.7
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 1 | 100.0% | — | 5 |
| AWAY | 100.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
51.9%
Record
28-26
Average
7.2
Median
6.0
Games Played
54
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
48.0%
Record
12-13
Average
7.3
GP at Line
25
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
FanDuel
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 46.2% | — | 13 |
| vs FAST pace | 46.2% | — | 13 |
| Rest: 1 | 58.3% | — | 12 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
51.9%
Record
27-25
Average
3.0
Median
3.0
Games Played
52
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
60.5%
Record
23-15
Average
3.1
GP at Line
38
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 68.0% | — | 25 |
| vs FAST pace | 66.7% | — | 24 |
| AWAY | 66.7% | — | 21 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 34.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
56.9%
Record
29-22
Average
35.3
Median
36.0
Games Played
51
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 34.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
4-4
Average
37.1
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 34.5
DraftKings
O/U 33.5
DraftKings
O/U 31.5
DraftKings
O/U 28.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| MID season | 60.0% | — | 5 |
| vs MID pace | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.