Points
43.0%
37-49 · 86 GP
NBA 2025–26
Mikal Bridges
New York Knicks
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 43.0% (86 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
48.8%
42-44 · 86 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
36.5%
31-54 · 85 GP
Assists
50.6%
43-42 · 85 GP
Rebounds
49.4%
42-43 · 85 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 15.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
43.0%
Record
37-49
Average
14.2
Median
14.0
Games Played
86
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 15.5
Over Rate
59.1%
Record
13-9
Average
16.8
GP at Line
22
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 57.1% | — | 14 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 12 |
| Rest: 1 | 63.6% | — | 11 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.8%
Record
42-44
Average
1.9
Median
2.0
Games Played
86
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
51.6%
Record
32-30
Average
1.9
GP at Line
62
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 55.9% | — | 34 |
| Rest: 1 | 48.3% | — | 29 |
| AWAY | 46.4% | — | 28 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 22.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
36.5%
Record
31-54
Average
21.7
Median
20.0
Games Played
85
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 22.5
Over Rate
47.1%
Record
8-9
Average
24.5
GP at Line
17
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 10 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 10 |
| AWAY | 66.7% | — | 9 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.6%
Record
43-42
Average
3.7
Median
4.0
Games Played
85
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
56.7%
Record
34-26
Average
3.7
GP at Line
60
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 54.5% | — | 33 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 32 |
| HOME | 58.1% | — | 31 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
49.4%
Record
42-43
Average
3.8
Median
4.0
Games Played
85
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
54.9%
Record
28-23
Average
3.6
GP at Line
51
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 55.6% | — | 27 |
| Rest: 1 | 61.5% | — | 26 |
| AWAY | 54.2% | — | 24 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.