Points
44.0%
11-14 · 25 GP
NBA 2025–26
Mouhamed Gueye
Atlanta Hawks
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 44.0% (25 GP) · 2 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
44.0%
11-14 · 25 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
44.0%
Record
11-14
Average
7.0
Median
6.0
Games Played
25
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
3-5
Average
6.3
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 60.0% | — | 5 |
| AWAY | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
44.0%
Record
11-14
Average
4.8
Median
4.0
Games Played
25
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
4-6
Average
4.0
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 37.5% | — | 8 |
| AWAY | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| EARLY season | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.