Points
46.1%
35-41 · 76 GP
NBA 2025–26
Moussa Diabate
Charlotte Hornets
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 46.1% (76 GP) · 4 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
46.1%
35-41 · 76 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
50.0%
15-15 · 30 GP
Assists
38.9%
7-11 · 18 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.1%
Record
35-41
Average
7.8
Median
8.0
Games Played
76
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
8-16
Average
8.0
GP at Line
24
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 28.6% | — | 14 |
| HOME | 30.8% | — | 13 |
| Rest: 1 | 33.3% | — | 12 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 9.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.1%
Record
35-41
Average
8.5
Median
9.0
Games Played
76
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 9.5
Over Rate
38.9%
Record
7-11
Average
8.6
GP at Line
18
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 45.5% | — | 11 |
| Rest: 1 | 33.3% | — | 9 |
| vs FAST pace | 44.4% | — | 9 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 20.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
15-15
Average
18.8
Median
19.0
Games Played
30
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 20.5
Over Rate
62.5%
Record
5-3
Average
21.3
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
38.9%
Record
7-11
Average
2.0
Median
2.0
Games Played
18
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
3-6
Average
2.3
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| STRETCH season | 20.0% | — | 5 |
| HOME | 40.0% | — | 5 |
| vs MID pace | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.