Points
38.9%
28-44 · 72 GP
Rebounds
38.6%
27-43 · 70 GP
Threes Made
45.7%
32-38 · 70 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
37.5%
18-30 · 48 GP
Assists
42.4%
14-19 · 33 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 12.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
13 GP · 39% over
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
11 GP · 18% over
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
7 GP · 57% over
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
6 GP · 33% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| vs MID pace |
14.3% |
— |
7 |
| AWAY |
28.6% |
— |
7 |
| Rest: 1 |
33.3% |
— |
6 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
25 GP · 36% over
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
11 GP · 73% over
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
8 GP · 25% over
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
7 GP · 14% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
40.0% |
— |
15 |
| vs FAST pace |
57.1% |
— |
14 |
| Rest: 1 |
46.2% |
— |
13 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
37 GP · 54% over
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
16 GP · 31% over
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
7 GP · 43% over
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
5 GP · 0% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| vs FAST pace |
77.3% |
— |
22 |
| HOME |
54.5% |
— |
22 |
| AWAY |
50.0% |
— |
22 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 18.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
6 GP · 0% over
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
6 GP · 67% over
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
6 GP · 33% over
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
4 GP · 25% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| AWAY |
60.0% |
— |
5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
25 GP · 40% over
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
5 GP · 60% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| vs FAST pace |
36.8% |
— |
19 |
| Rest: 1 |
42.1% |
— |
19 |
| AWAY |
37.5% |
— |
16 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.
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