Rebounds
47.1%
33-37 · 70 GP
NBA 2025–26
Naji Marshall
Dallas Mavericks
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Rebounds 47.1% (70 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Pts+Reb+Ast
47.1%
33-37 · 70 GP
Points
51.4%
36-34 · 70 GP
Assists
47.8%
32-35 · 67 GP
Threes Made
45.5%
20-24 · 44 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.1%
Record
33-37
Average
5.0
Median
5.0
Games Played
70
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
51.5%
Record
17-16
Average
4.7
GP at Line
33
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 55.6% | — | 18 |
| Rest: 1 | 62.5% | — | 16 |
| HOME | 46.7% | — | 15 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 21.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.1%
Record
33-37
Average
22.8
Median
21.5
Games Played
70
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 21.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
4-4
Average
25.5
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 1 | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 16.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
51.4%
Record
36-34
Average
14.9
Median
15.0
Games Played
70
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 16.5
Over Rate
44.4%
Record
4-5
Average
13.8
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.8%
Record
32-35
Average
3.3
Median
3.0
Games Played
67
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
52.8%
Record
19-17
Average
2.8
GP at Line
36
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 63.6% | — | 22 |
| vs FAST pace | 42.9% | — | 21 |
| HOME | 63.2% | — | 19 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 0.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.5%
Record
20-24
Average
0.9
Median
1.0
Games Played
44
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 0.5
Over Rate
54.8%
Record
17-14
Average
0.7
GP at Line
31
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 37.5% | — | 16 |
| Rest: 1 | 37.5% | — | 16 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 16 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.