Rebounds
53.2%
41-36 · 77 GP
NBA 2025–26
Naz Reid
Minnesota Timberwolves
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Rebounds 53.2% (77 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
42.7%
32-43 · 75 GP
Points
45.3%
34-41 · 75 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
43.1%
25-33 · 58 GP
Assists
47.2%
25-28 · 53 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
53.2%
Record
41-36
Average
6.3
Median
6.0
Games Played
77
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
54.5%
Record
18-15
Average
5.8
GP at Line
33
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
FanDuel
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 57.9% | — | 19 |
| AWAY | 41.2% | — | 17 |
| HOME | 68.8% | — | 16 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.7%
Record
32-43
Average
2.1
Median
2.0
Games Played
75
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
45.7%
Record
16-19
Average
2.3
GP at Line
35
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 43.5% | — | 23 |
| MID season | 52.2% | — | 23 |
| vs FAST pace | 47.8% | — | 23 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 13.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.3%
Record
34-41
Average
12.8
Median
13.0
Games Played
75
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 13.5
Over Rate
63.2%
Record
12-7
Average
14.1
GP at Line
19
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 60.0% | — | 10 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 10 |
| AWAY | 77.8% | — | 9 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 22.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
43.1%
Record
25-33
Average
21.4
Median
20.0
Games Played
58
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 22.5
Over Rate
38.5%
Record
5-8
Average
22.7
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 40.0% | — | 10 |
| HOME | 25.0% | — | 8 |
| vs FAST pace | 37.5% | — | 8 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.2%
Record
25-28
Average
2.4
Median
2.0
Games Played
53
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
44.2%
Record
19-24
Average
2.4
GP at Line
43
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 46.4% | — | 28 |
| HOME | 38.5% | — | 26 |
| vs FAST pace | 52.0% | — | 25 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.