Points
46.7%
35-40 · 75 GP
NBA 2025–26
Neemias Queta
Boston Celtics
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 46.7% (75 GP) · 4 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
46.7%
35-40 · 75 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
35.7%
15-27 · 42 GP
Assists
37.9%
11-18 · 29 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 9.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.7%
Record
35-40
Average
9.3
Median
9.0
Games Played
75
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 9.5
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
9-12
Average
8.8
GP at Line
21
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 41.7% | — | 12 |
| vs FAST pace | 58.3% | — | 12 |
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 12 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.7%
Record
35-40
Average
8.7
Median
8.0
Games Played
75
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
35.7%
Record
10-18
Average
8.0
GP at Line
28
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 31.3% | — | 16 |
| MID season | 26.7% | — | 15 |
| HOME | 33.3% | — | 15 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 20.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
35.7%
Record
15-27
Average
19.5
Median
18.0
Games Played
42
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 20.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
4-6
Average
19.8
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| vs FAST pace | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
37.9%
Record
11-18
Average
1.8
Median
1.0
Games Played
29
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
10-15
Average
1.6
GP at Line
25
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 35.7% | — | 14 |
| AWAY | 35.7% | — | 14 |
| vs FAST pace | 46.2% | — | 13 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.