Threes Made
55.4%
41-33 · 74 GP
NBA 2025–26
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Atlanta Hawks
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Threes Made 55.4% (74 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
64.4%
47-26 · 73 GP
Rebounds
37.5%
27-45 · 72 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
47.9%
34-37 · 71 GP
Assists
55.7%
39-31 · 70 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
55.4%
Record
41-33
Average
3.1
Median
3.0
Games Played
74
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
58.8%
Record
30-21
Average
3.2
GP at Line
51
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 48.3% | — | 29 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 28 |
| AWAY | 57.7% | — | 26 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 19.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
64.4%
Record
47-26
Average
19.8
Median
20.0
Games Played
73
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 19.5
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
9-6
Average
20.4
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 60.0% | — | 10 |
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 8 |
| MID season | 71.4% | — | 7 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
27-45
Average
3.3
Median
3.0
Games Played
72
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
35.7%
Record
20-36
Average
3.4
GP at Line
56
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 27.3% | — | 33 |
| HOME | 30.0% | — | 30 |
| Rest: 1 | 36.7% | — | 30 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 26.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.9%
Record
34-37
Average
27.0
Median
26.0
Games Played
71
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 26.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
4-8
Average
27.9
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
DraftKings
O/U 27.5
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 33.3% | — | 9 |
| HOME | 25.0% | — | 8 |
| vs MID pace | 42.9% | — | 7 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
55.7%
Record
39-31
Average
3.9
Median
4.0
Games Played
70
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
55.6%
Record
25-20
Average
3.8
GP at Line
45
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 51.9% | — | 27 |
| Rest: 1 | 60.0% | — | 25 |
| AWAY | 70.8% | — | 24 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.