Points
37.1%
23-39 · 62 GP
NBA 2025–26
Nikola Vucevic
Chicago Bulls
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 37.1% (62 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Pts+Reb+Ast
41.0%
25-36 · 61 GP
Rebounds
44.3%
27-34 · 61 GP
Threes Made
41.7%
25-35 · 60 GP
Assists
43.3%
26-34 · 60 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 16.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
37.1%
Record
23-39
Average
14.7
Median
15.0
Games Played
62
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 16.5
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
6-4
Average
18.3
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| MID season | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| vs MID pace | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 29.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
41.0%
Record
25-36
Average
25.9
Median
28.0
Games Played
61
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 29.5
Over Rate
75.0%
Record
6-2
Average
32.4
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 32.5
DraftKings
O/U 29.5
DraftKings
O/U 31.5
DraftKings
O/U 27.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 1 | 80.0% | — | 5 |
| AWAY | 80.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.3%
Record
27-34
Average
8.2
Median
8.0
Games Played
61
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
52.9%
Record
9-8
Average
8.6
GP at Line
17
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 46.7% | — | 15 |
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 10 |
| vs FAST pace | 66.7% | — | 9 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
41.7%
Record
25-35
Average
1.5
Median
1.0
Games Played
60
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
41.5%
Record
22-31
Average
1.6
GP at Line
53
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 38.2% | — | 34 |
| HOME | 41.4% | — | 29 |
| vs FAST pace | 48.3% | — | 29 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
43.3%
Record
26-34
Average
3.2
Median
3.0
Games Played
60
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
41.9%
Record
13-18
Average
3.4
GP at Line
31
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 20 |
| vs MID pace | 29.4% | — | 17 |
| HOME | 41.2% | — | 17 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.