Points
50.0%
30-30 · 60 GP
NBA 2025–26
Noah Clowney
Brooklyn Nets
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 50.0% (60 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
45.8%
27-32 · 59 GP
Rebounds
48.2%
27-29 · 56 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
44.8%
13-16 · 29 GP
Assists
50.0%
10-10 · 20 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 11.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
30-30
Average
12.6
Median
11.5
Games Played
60
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 11.5
Over Rate
53.8%
Record
7-6
Average
13.3
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs MID pace | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 6 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.8%
Record
27-32
Average
2.0
Median
2.0
Games Played
59
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
48.3%
Record
14-15
Average
1.6
GP at Line
29
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 43.8% | — | 16 |
| vs FAST pace | 40.0% | — | 15 |
| Rest: 1 | 60.0% | — | 15 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.2%
Record
27-29
Average
4.3
Median
4.0
Games Played
56
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
43.8%
Record
14-18
Average
4.1
GP at Line
32
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 47.6% | — | 21 |
| vs FAST pace | 36.8% | — | 19 |
| HOME | 52.9% | — | 17 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 18.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
44.8%
Record
13-16
Average
19.7
Median
18.0
Games Played
29
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 18.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
3-3
Average
21.7
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 60.0% | — | 5 |
| HOME | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
10-10
Average
1.9
Median
2.0
Games Played
20
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
52.9%
Record
9-8
Average
1.8
GP at Line
17
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 58.3% | — | 12 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 12 |
| vs FAST pace | 54.5% | — | 11 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.