Points
38.9%
7-11 · 18 GP
NBA 2025–26
Ochai Agbaji
Toronto Raptors
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 38.9% (18 GP) · 2 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
35.7%
5-9 · 14 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
38.9%
Record
7-11
Average
5.5
Median
5.0
Games Played
18
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
55.6%
Record
5-4
Average
7.2
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| vs MID pace | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
35.7%
Record
5-9
Average
2.3
Median
2.5
Games Played
14
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
4-4
Average
2.5
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 80.0% | — | 5 |
| Rest: 1 | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.