Points
56.9%
41-31 · 72 GP
Rebounds
50.0%
36-36 · 72 GP
Threes Made
47.9%
34-37 · 71 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
50.0%
34-34 · 68 GP
Assists
40.7%
22-32 · 54 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 16.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
14 GP · 57% over
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
11 GP · 46% over
FanDuel
O/U 16.5
8 GP · 63% over
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
8 GP · 38% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| vs FAST pace |
58.3% |
— |
12 |
| HOME |
50.0% |
— |
10 |
| Rest: 1 |
66.7% |
— |
9 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
25 GP · 40% over
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
14 GP · 71% over
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
11 GP · 36% over
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
7 GP · 29% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
45.0% |
— |
20 |
| Rest: 1 |
60.0% |
— |
15 |
| vs FAST pace |
50.0% |
— |
14 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
34 GP · 50% over
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
15 GP · 47% over
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
12 GP · 67% over
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
5 GP · 40% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| vs FAST pace |
27.3% |
— |
22 |
| Rest: 1 |
36.4% |
— |
22 |
| AWAY |
42.9% |
— |
21 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 23.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
11 GP · 36% over
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
9 GP · 44% over
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
9 GP · 67% over
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
6 GP · 33% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| Rest: 1 |
50.0% |
— |
10 |
| HOME |
33.3% |
— |
9 |
| vs MID pace |
28.6% |
— |
7 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
26 GP · 23% over
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
14 GP · 57% over
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
12 GP · 58% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| vs FAST pace |
31.8% |
— |
22 |
| HOME |
47.6% |
— |
21 |
| Rest: 1 |
31.6% |
— |
19 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.
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