Threes Made
34.5%
19-36 · 55 GP
NBA 2025–26
P.J. Washington
Dallas Mavericks
Threes Made 34.5% Under (55 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Points
45.6%
26-31 · 57 GP
Rebounds
51.8%
29-27 · 56 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
51.0%
25-24 · 49 GP
Assists
44.2%
19-24 · 43 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
feature
Over Rate
34.5%
Record
19-36
Average
1.3
Median
1.0
Games Played
55
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
36.7%
Record
18-31
Average
1.4
GP at Line
49
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 31.0% | — | 29 |
| AWAY | 32.1% | — | 28 |
| Rest: 1 | 29.6% | — | 27 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 13.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.6%
Record
26-31
Average
14.4
Median
14.0
Games Played
57
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 13.5
Over Rate
69.2%
Record
9-4
Average
15.7
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 62.5% | — | 8 |
| Rest: 1 | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 57.1% | — | 7 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
51.8%
Record
29-27
Average
7.1
Median
7.0
Games Played
56
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
66.7%
Record
14-7
Average
7.8
GP at Line
21
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 12 |
| vs FAST pace | 63.6% | — | 11 |
| AWAY | 66.7% | — | 9 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 22.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
51.0%
Record
25-24
Average
23.7
Median
24.0
Games Played
49
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 22.5
Over Rate
85.7%
Record
6-1
Average
27.4
GP at Line
7
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.2%
Record
19-24
Average
1.9
Median
2.0
Games Played
43
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
8-16
Average
1.9
GP at Line
24
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 29.4% | — | 17 |
| EARLY season | 35.3% | — | 17 |
| Rest: 1 | 20.0% | — | 15 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.