Rebounds
50.6%
40-39 · 79 GP
NBA 2025–26
Paolo Banchero
Orlando Magic
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Rebounds 50.6% (79 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
48.7%
38-40 · 78 GP
Assists
54.5%
42-35 · 77 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
50.7%
38-37 · 75 GP
Threes Made
35.1%
26-48 · 74 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.6%
Record
40-39
Average
8.2
Median
8.0
Games Played
79
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
46.3%
Record
19-22
Average
8.0
GP at Line
41
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
FanDuel
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 52.2% | — | 23 |
| HOME | 42.9% | — | 21 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 20 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 23.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.7%
Record
38-40
Average
23.2
Median
23.0
Games Played
78
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 23.5
Over Rate
57.9%
Record
11-8
Average
23.6
GP at Line
19
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
FanDuel
O/U 23.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 63.6% | — | 11 |
| vs FAST pace | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| vs MID pace | 75.0% | — | 8 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
54.5%
Record
42-35
Average
5.1
Median
5.0
Games Played
77
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
52.3%
Record
23-21
Average
5.1
GP at Line
44
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 40.0% | — | 25 |
| AWAY | 54.2% | — | 24 |
| vs FAST pace | 56.5% | — | 23 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 37.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.7%
Record
38-37
Average
36.3
Median
36.0
Games Played
75
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 37.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
5-10
Average
34.0
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 35.5
DraftKings
O/U 36.5
FanDuel
O/U 37.5
DraftKings
O/U 37.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 33.3% | — | 9 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 8 |
| HOME | 14.3% | — | 7 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
35.1%
Record
26-48
Average
1.2
Median
1.0
Games Played
74
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
31.7%
Record
19-41
Average
1.2
GP at Line
60
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 40.6% | — | 32 |
| AWAY | 26.7% | — | 30 |
| HOME | 36.7% | — | 30 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.