Assists
28.6%
6-15 · 21 GP
NBA 2025–26
Pat Spencer
Golden State Warriors
Assists 28.6% Under (21 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 4 strong signals
Pts+Reb+Ast
33.3%
7-14 · 21 GP
Rebounds
22.2%
4-14 · 18 GP
Threes Made
33.3%
5-10 · 15 GP
Points
42.9%
9-12 · 21 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
28.6%
Record
6-15
Average
4.0
Median
4.0
Games Played
21
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
3-5
Average
4.0
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| STRETCH season | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 14.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
7-14
Average
15.0
Median
14.0
Games Played
21
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 14.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
2-3
Average
13.2
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
22.2%
Record
4-14
Average
2.3
Median
2.0
Games Played
18
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
36.4%
Record
4-7
Average
2.2
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 16.7% | — | 6 |
| STRETCH season | 16.7% | — | 6 |
| HOME | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 0.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
5-10
Average
0.7
Median
1.0
Games Played
15
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 0.5
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
3-5
Average
0.4
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| STRETCH season | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 7.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
9-12
Average
8.6
Median
9.0
Games Played
21
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 7.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
3-3
Average
8.2
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.