Rebounds
33.3%
11-22 · 33 GP
NBA 2025–26
Patrick Williams
Chicago Bulls
Rebounds 33.3% Under (33 GP) · 3 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Points
52.5%
21-19 · 40 GP
Threes Made
55.6%
15-12 · 27 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
feature
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
11-22
Average
3.0
Median
2.0
Games Played
33
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
43.8%
Record
7-9
Average
3.1
GP at Line
16
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 66.7% | — | 9 |
| AWAY | 37.5% | — | 8 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 8 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 7.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
52.5%
Record
21-19
Average
7.7
Median
7.5
Games Played
40
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 7.5
Over Rate
58.3%
Record
7-5
Average
7.3
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs MID pace | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| HOME | 83.3% | — | 6 |
| AWAY | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
55.6%
Record
15-12
Average
1.6
Median
2.0
Games Played
27
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
64.7%
Record
11-6
Average
1.7
GP at Line
17
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 63.6% | — | 11 |
| EARLY season | 60.0% | — | 10 |
| Rest: 1 | 77.8% | — | 9 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.