Assists
46.1%
35-41 · 76 GP
NBA 2025–26
Payton Pritchard
Boston Celtics
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Assists 46.1% (76 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
53.9%
41-35 · 76 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
42.7%
32-43 · 75 GP
Threes Made
44.0%
33-42 · 75 GP
Rebounds
49.3%
37-38 · 75 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.1%
Record
35-41
Average
5.1
Median
5.0
Games Played
76
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
59.4%
Record
19-13
Average
5.1
GP at Line
32
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 58.8% | — | 17 |
| HOME | 58.8% | — | 17 |
| vs FAST pace | 68.8% | — | 16 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 16.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
53.9%
Record
41-35
Average
17.1
Median
17.0
Games Played
76
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 16.5
Over Rate
48.0%
Record
12-13
Average
15.5
GP at Line
25
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
FanDuel
O/U 16.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 56.3% | — | 16 |
| Rest: 1 | 46.7% | — | 15 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 14 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 25.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.7%
Record
32-43
Average
26.1
Median
24.0
Games Played
75
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 25.5
Over Rate
36.8%
Record
7-12
Average
26.1
GP at Line
19
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
DraftKings
O/U 27.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 41.7% | — | 12 |
| Rest: 1 | 30.0% | — | 10 |
| vs FAST pace | 40.0% | — | 10 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.0%
Record
33-42
Average
2.6
Median
2.0
Games Played
75
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
53.1%
Record
26-23
Average
2.9
GP at Line
49
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 37.0% | — | 27 |
| AWAY | 60.0% | — | 25 |
| HOME | 45.8% | — | 24 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
49.3%
Record
37-38
Average
4.0
Median
4.0
Games Played
75
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
55.6%
Record
20-16
Average
3.8
GP at Line
36
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 60.0% | — | 20 |
| Rest: 1 | 52.6% | — | 19 |
| vs FAST pace | 55.6% | — | 18 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.