Points
40.0%
20-30 · 50 GP
NBA 2025–26
Quinten Post
Golden State Warriors
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 40.0% (50 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
42.0%
21-29 · 50 GP
Threes Made
41.7%
20-28 · 48 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
48.0%
12-13 · 25 GP
Assists
41.7%
5-7 · 12 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 9.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
20-30
Average
8.7
Median
8.5
Games Played
50
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 9.5
Over Rate
54.5%
Record
6-5
Average
9.5
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| vs FAST pace | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 0 | 66.7% | — | 6 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.0%
Record
21-29
Average
4.4
Median
4.0
Games Played
50
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
6-10
Average
4.9
GP at Line
16
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 45.5% | — | 11 |
| AWAY | 33.3% | — | 9 |
| vs FAST pace | 37.5% | — | 8 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
41.7%
Record
20-28
Average
1.6
Median
1.0
Games Played
48
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
46.2%
Record
18-21
Average
1.5
GP at Line
39
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 40.7% | — | 27 |
| AWAY | 63.6% | — | 22 |
| Rest: 1 | 40.9% | — | 22 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 16.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
48.0%
Record
12-13
Average
14.9
Median
16.0
Games Played
25
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 16.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
2-3
Average
15.2
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
41.7%
Record
5-7
Average
1.3
Median
1.0
Games Played
12
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
4-6
Average
1.4
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.