Threes Made
48.7%
38-40 · 78 GP
NBA 2025–26
Reed Sheppard
Houston Rockets
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Threes Made 48.7% (78 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
48.7%
38-40 · 78 GP
Assists
44.2%
34-43 · 77 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
48.6%
35-37 · 72 GP
Rebounds
50.0%
34-34 · 68 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.7%
Record
38-40
Average
2.6
Median
3.0
Games Played
78
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
59.5%
Record
25-17
Average
2.9
GP at Line
42
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 64.0% | — | 25 |
| Rest: 1 | 56.0% | — | 25 |
| vs FAST pace | 52.4% | — | 21 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 11.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.7%
Record
38-40
Average
13.4
Median
12.5
Games Played
78
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 11.5
Over Rate
52.9%
Record
9-8
Average
13.3
GP at Line
17
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| MID season | 25.0% | — | 8 |
| Rest: 1 | 25.0% | — | 8 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.2%
Record
34-43
Average
3.3
Median
3.0
Games Played
77
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
43.2%
Record
16-21
Average
2.3
GP at Line
37
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 33.3% | — | 21 |
| HOME | 30.0% | — | 20 |
| Rest: 1 | 45.0% | — | 20 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 16.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.6%
Record
35-37
Average
19.9
Median
18.5
Games Played
72
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 16.5
Over Rate
46.2%
Record
6-7
Average
17.3
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
FanDuel
O/U 16.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 12.5% | — | 8 |
| HOME | 25.0% | — | 8 |
| vs MID pace | 42.9% | — | 7 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
34-34
Average
3.3
Median
3.0
Games Played
68
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
55.6%
Record
25-20
Average
3.1
GP at Line
45
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 59.3% | — | 27 |
| Rest: 1 | 53.8% | — | 26 |
| vs FAST pace | 77.3% | — | 22 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.