Points
53.3%
8-7 · 15 GP
NBA 2025–26
Rob Dillingham
Minnesota Timberwolves
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 53.3% (15 GP) · 1 qualified card · No strong signal
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
53.3%
Record
8-7
Average
7.8
Median
8.0
Games Played
15
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
3-2
Average
4.4
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.