Points
43.5%
30-39 · 69 GP
Assists
55.9%
38-30 · 68 GP
Threes Made
50.0%
34-34 · 68 GP
Rebounds
40.3%
27-40 · 67 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
51.5%
34-32 · 66 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 15.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
8 GP · 38% over
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
8 GP · 38% over
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
7 GP · 43% over
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
7 GP · 57% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| Rest: 1 |
33.3% |
— |
9 |
| vs FAST pace |
42.9% |
— |
7 |
| AWAY |
33.3% |
— |
6 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
17 GP · 65% over
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
11 GP · 46% over
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
9 GP · 56% over
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
8 GP · 50% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
61.5% |
— |
13 |
| vs FAST pace |
38.5% |
— |
13 |
| Rest: 1 |
61.5% |
— |
13 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
42 GP · 50% over
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
13 GP · 62% over
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
7 GP · 29% over
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
3 GP · 33% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
51.6% |
— |
31 |
| Rest: 1 |
63.3% |
— |
30 |
| vs FAST pace |
67.9% |
— |
28 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
13 GP · 62% over
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
11 GP · 55% over
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
11 GP · 46% over
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
9 GP · 22% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| AWAY |
50.0% |
— |
8 |
| vs MID pace |
66.7% |
— |
6 |
| Rest: 1 |
50.0% |
— |
6 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 28.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 28.5
10 GP · 60% over
DraftKings
O/U 29.5
7 GP · 57% over
DraftKings
O/U 27.5
6 GP · 67% over
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
5 GP · 40% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| Rest: 1 |
83.3% |
— |
6 |
| MID season |
66.7% |
— |
6 |
| vs FAST pace |
66.7% |
— |
6 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.
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