Points
60.0%
36-24 · 60 GP
NBA 2025–26
Ryan Kalkbrenner
Charlotte Hornets
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 60.0% (60 GP) · 3 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
42.4%
25-34 · 59 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
50.0%
8-8 · 16 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
36-24
Average
8.2
Median
8.0
Games Played
60
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
61.5%
Record
8-5
Average
10.0
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| HOME | 62.5% | — | 8 |
| Rest: 1 | 37.5% | — | 8 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.4%
Record
25-34
Average
5.9
Median
6.0
Games Played
59
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
6-10
Average
6.9
GP at Line
16
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 33.3% | — | 12 |
| vs FAST pace | 36.4% | — | 11 |
| Rest: 1 | 37.5% | — | 8 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
8-8
Average
14.1
Median
14.5
Games Played
16
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.