Points
60.5%
46-30 · 76 GP
NBA 2025–26
Saddiq Bey
New Orleans Pelicans
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 60.5% (76 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
42.1%
32-44 · 76 GP
Threes Made
53.4%
39-34 · 73 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
59.7%
37-25 · 62 GP
Assists
51.8%
29-27 · 56 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 12.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
60.5%
Record
46-30
Average
18.0
Median
18.5
Games Played
76
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 12.5
Over Rate
54.5%
Record
6-5
Average
15.0
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 1 | 80.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.1%
Record
32-44
Average
5.5
Median
5.0
Games Played
76
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
52.8%
Record
19-17
Average
5.7
GP at Line
36
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 20 |
| HOME | 57.9% | — | 19 |
| Rest: 1 | 41.2% | — | 17 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
53.4%
Record
39-34
Average
2.1
Median
2.0
Games Played
73
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
52.3%
Record
23-21
Average
1.8
GP at Line
44
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 60.7% | — | 28 |
| vs FAST pace | 48.1% | — | 27 |
| HOME | 41.7% | — | 24 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 25.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
59.7%
Record
37-25
Average
27.2
Median
27.0
Games Played
62
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 25.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
4-6
Average
26.7
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
DraftKings
O/U 28.5
DraftKings
O/U 27.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 6 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
51.8%
Record
29-27
Average
3.0
Median
3.0
Games Played
56
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
55.3%
Record
21-17
Average
3.1
GP at Line
38
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 54.5% | — | 22 |
| vs FAST pace | 45.0% | — | 20 |
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 18 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.