Points
60.6%
43-28 · 71 GP
NBA 2025–26
Sandro Mamukelashvili
Toronto Raptors
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 60.6% (71 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
45.1%
32-39 · 71 GP
Threes Made
37.5%
18-30 · 48 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
56.7%
17-13 · 30 GP
Assists
45.0%
9-11 · 20 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
60.6%
Record
43-28
Average
11.6
Median
12.0
Games Played
71
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
76.9%
Record
10-3
Average
11.5
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 75.0% | — | 8 |
| HOME | 85.7% | — | 7 |
| EARLY season | 71.4% | — | 7 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.1%
Record
32-39
Average
5.0
Median
5.0
Games Played
71
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
61.5%
Record
16-10
Average
5.1
GP at Line
26
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 60.0% | — | 15 |
| Rest: 1 | 57.1% | — | 14 |
| vs FAST pace | 53.8% | — | 13 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
18-30
Average
1.6
Median
1.0
Games Played
48
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
37.0%
Record
10-17
Average
1.7
GP at Line
27
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 22.2% | — | 18 |
| Rest: 1 | 35.7% | — | 14 |
| vs MID pace | 46.2% | — | 13 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
56.7%
Record
17-13
Average
20.4
Median
18.5
Games Played
30
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
45.0%
Record
9-11
Average
2.4
Median
2.0
Games Played
20
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
4-6
Average
1.8
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 14.3% | — | 7 |
| MID season | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| vs MID pace | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.