Assists
32.4%
12-25 · 37 GP
NBA 2025–26
Santi Aldama
Memphis Grizzlies
Assists 32.4% Under (37 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Pts+Reb+Ast
42.5%
17-23 · 40 GP
Threes Made
39.5%
15-23 · 38 GP
Points
52.6%
20-18 · 38 GP
Rebounds
47.4%
18-20 · 38 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
feature
Over Rate
32.4%
Record
12-25
Average
2.5
Median
2.0
Games Played
37
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
34.8%
Record
8-15
Average
2.2
GP at Line
23
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 42.9% | — | 14 |
| vs FAST pace | 30.8% | — | 13 |
| AWAY | 38.5% | — | 13 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 20.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.5%
Record
17-23
Average
21.2
Median
21.0
Games Played
40
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 20.5
Over Rate
71.4%
Record
5-2
Average
24.0
GP at Line
7
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 80.0% | — | 5 |
| HOME | 60.0% | — | 5 |
| EARLY season | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
39.5%
Record
15-23
Average
1.7
Median
1.0
Games Played
38
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
14-21
Average
1.7
GP at Line
35
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 34.8% | — | 23 |
| Rest: 1 | 47.4% | — | 19 |
| HOME | 33.3% | — | 18 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 11.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
52.6%
Record
20-18
Average
14.3
Median
13.5
Games Played
38
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 11.5
Over Rate
80.0%
Record
8-2
Average
14.7
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 87.5% | — | 8 |
| EARLY season | 75.0% | — | 8 |
| HOME | 71.4% | — | 7 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.4%
Record
18-20
Average
6.7
Median
6.5
Games Played
38
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
36.8%
Record
7-12
Average
6.4
GP at Line
19
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 35.7% | — | 14 |
| Rest: 1 | 36.4% | — | 11 |
| vs FAST pace | 36.4% | — | 11 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.