Points
47.9%
23-25 · 48 GP
NBA 2025–26
Shaedon Sharpe
Portland Trail Blazers
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 47.9% (48 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
46.8%
22-25 · 47 GP
Threes Made
46.8%
22-25 · 47 GP
Assists
45.7%
21-25 · 46 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
47.8%
22-24 · 46 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 22.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.9%
Record
23-25
Average
22.6
Median
23.0
Games Played
48
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 22.5
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
3-5
Average
21.3
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| HOME | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| MID season | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.8%
Record
22-25
Average
4.5
Median
4.0
Games Played
47
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
40.7%
Record
11-16
Average
4.5
GP at Line
27
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 47.1% | — | 17 |
| vs FAST pace | 33.3% | — | 15 |
| HOME | 35.7% | — | 14 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.8%
Record
22-25
Average
2.5
Median
2.0
Games Played
47
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
53.6%
Record
15-13
Average
2.6
GP at Line
28
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 47.4% | — | 19 |
| MID season | 68.8% | — | 16 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 16 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.7%
Record
21-25
Average
2.8
Median
3.0
Games Played
46
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
57.7%
Record
15-11
Average
3.0
GP at Line
26
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 55.6% | — | 18 |
| MID season | 86.7% | — | 15 |
| HOME | 57.1% | — | 14 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 29.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.8%
Record
22-24
Average
29.6
Median
32.0
Games Played
46
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 29.5
Over Rate
75.0%
Record
6-2
Average
30.8
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 29.5
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 28.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 100.0% | — | 6 |
| vs FAST pace | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| HOME | 80.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.