Assists
42.3%
30-41 · 71 GP
NBA 2025–26
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Oklahoma City Thunder
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Assists 42.3% (71 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
47.0%
31-35 · 66 GP
Threes Made
44.6%
29-36 · 65 GP
Rebounds
46.2%
30-35 · 65 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
52.3%
34-31 · 65 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.3%
Record
30-41
Average
6.5
Median
6.0
Games Played
71
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
43.2%
Record
19-25
Average
6.3
GP at Line
44
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
FanDuel
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
FanDuel
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 36.4% | — | 22 |
| vs FAST pace | 45.5% | — | 22 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 22 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 30.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.0%
Record
31-35
Average
32.0
Median
31.0
Games Played
66
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 30.5
Over Rate
63.2%
Record
12-7
Average
33.7
GP at Line
19
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 30.5
DraftKings
O/U 31.5
DraftKings
O/U 32.5
FanDuel
O/U 30.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 53.8% | — | 13 |
| Rest: 1 | 60.0% | — | 10 |
| vs MID pace | 44.4% | — | 9 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.6%
Record
29-36
Average
1.6
Median
1.0
Games Played
65
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
45.1%
Record
23-28
Average
1.7
GP at Line
51
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 46.7% | — | 30 |
| Rest: 1 | 46.4% | — | 28 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 22 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.2%
Record
30-35
Average
4.4
Median
4.0
Games Played
65
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
45.2%
Record
19-23
Average
4.2
GP at Line
42
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 34.8% | — | 23 |
| vs FAST pace | 40.0% | — | 20 |
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 20 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 42.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
52.3%
Record
34-31
Average
42.7
Median
44.0
Games Played
65
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 42.5
Over Rate
58.8%
Record
10-7
Average
41.4
GP at Line
17
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 42.5
DraftKings
O/U 43.5
DraftKings
O/U 41.5
DraftKings
O/U 45.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 50.0% | — | 10 |
| AWAY | 66.7% | — | 9 |
| vs FAST pace | 55.6% | — | 9 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.