Threes Made
45.0%
18-22 · 40 GP
NBA 2025–26
Simone Fontecchio
Miami Heat
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Threes Made 45.0% (40 GP) · 4 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
47.5%
19-21 · 40 GP
Rebounds
60.6%
20-13 · 33 GP
Assists
60.0%
6-4 · 10 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.0%
Record
18-22
Average
2.1
Median
2.0
Games Played
40
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
52.2%
Record
12-11
Average
1.8
GP at Line
23
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 38.5% | — | 13 |
| vs MID pace | 53.8% | — | 13 |
| Rest: 1 | 53.8% | — | 13 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.5%
Record
19-21
Average
10.0
Median
9.0
Games Played
40
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
54.5%
Record
6-5
Average
9.5
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs MID pace | 50.0% | — | 8 |
| Rest: 1 | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 6 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
60.6%
Record
20-13
Average
3.8
Median
4.0
Games Played
33
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
52.6%
Record
10-9
Average
3.8
GP at Line
19
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 12 |
| vs FAST pace | 63.6% | — | 11 |
| MID season | 60.0% | — | 10 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
6-4
Average
2.0
Median
2.0
Games Played
10
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
3-2
Average
1.8
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.