Threes Made
30.0%
18-42 · 60 GP
NBA 2025–26
Stephon Castle
San Antonio Spurs
Threes Made 30.0% Under (60 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Assists
50.0%
36-36 · 72 GP
Rebounds
55.7%
39-31 · 70 GP
Points
47.1%
33-37 · 70 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
44.9%
31-38 · 69 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
feature
Over Rate
30.0%
Record
18-42
Average
1.1
Median
1.0
Games Played
60
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
27.3%
Record
12-32
Average
1.1
GP at Line
44
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 24.0% | — | 25 |
| AWAY | 28.0% | — | 25 |
| MID season | 31.8% | — | 22 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
36-36
Average
7.1
Median
7.0
Games Played
72
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
46.7%
Record
14-16
Average
6.7
GP at Line
30
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
FanDuel
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 55.0% | — | 20 |
| HOME | 37.5% | — | 16 |
| Rest: 1 | 56.3% | — | 16 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
55.7%
Record
39-31
Average
5.0
Median
5.0
Games Played
70
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
61.5%
Record
24-15
Average
5.0
GP at Line
39
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 60.7% | — | 28 |
| AWAY | 70.0% | — | 20 |
| HOME | 52.6% | — | 19 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 16.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.1%
Record
33-37
Average
16.1
Median
16.0
Games Played
70
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 16.5
Over Rate
53.3%
Record
8-7
Average
16.8
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| vs FAST pace | 37.5% | — | 8 |
| Rest: 1 | 66.7% | — | 6 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 29.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.9%
Record
31-38
Average
28.1
Median
28.0
Games Played
69
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 29.5
Over Rate
41.7%
Record
5-7
Average
28.2
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 29.5
DraftKings
O/U 28.5
FanDuel
O/U 26.5
DraftKings
O/U 27.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| vs FAST pace | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.