Points
28.0%
7-18 · 25 GP
NBA 2025–26
Steven Adams
Houston Rockets
Points 28.0% Under (25 GP) · 2 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Rebounds
60.7%
17-11 · 28 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
28.0%
Record
7-18
Average
6.1
Median
6.0
Games Played
25
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
3-6
Average
5.9
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 16.7% | — | 6 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 1 | 0.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 7.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
60.7%
Record
17-11
Average
9.0
Median
9.5
Games Played
28
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 7.5
Over Rate
87.5%
Record
7-1
Average
9.3
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 100.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.