Points
54.2%
13-11 · 24 GP
NBA 2025–26
Taylor Hendricks
Utah Jazz
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 54.2% (24 GP) · 3 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
56.5%
13-10 · 23 GP
Threes Made
61.1%
11-7 · 18 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 10.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
54.2%
Record
13-11
Average
10.7
Median
11.0
Games Played
24
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 10.5
Over Rate
66.7%
Record
4-2
Average
12.5
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
56.5%
Record
13-10
Average
5.1
Median
5.0
Games Played
23
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
55.6%
Record
5-4
Average
4.7
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 42.9% | — | 7 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
61.1%
Record
11-7
Average
1.7
Median
2.0
Games Played
18
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
5-5
Average
1.6
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 60.0% | — | 5 |
| HOME | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.