Points
34.8%
16-30 · 46 GP
Threes Made
34.6%
9-17 · 26 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
37.2%
16-27 · 43 GP
Rebounds
59.5%
25-17 · 42 GP
Assists
50.0%
19-19 · 38 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 9.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
13 GP · 39% over
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
8 GP · 38% over
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
5 GP · 0% over
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
5 GP · 20% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| EARLY season |
55.6% |
— |
9 |
| Rest: 1 |
25.0% |
— |
8 |
| AWAY |
28.6% |
— |
7 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
14 GP · 21% over
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
10 GP · 60% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| EARLY season |
25.0% |
— |
12 |
| HOME |
0.0% |
— |
7 |
| vs FAST pace |
14.3% |
— |
7 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 16.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
9 GP · 44% over
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
7 GP · 43% over
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
7 GP · 43% over
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
6 GP · 50% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| EARLY season |
42.9% |
— |
7 |
| Rest: 1 |
33.3% |
— |
6 |
| HOME |
20.0% |
— |
5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
29 GP · 59% over
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
9 GP · 56% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| EARLY season |
52.9% |
— |
17 |
| HOME |
62.5% |
— |
16 |
| vs FAST pace |
43.8% |
— |
16 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
23 GP · 57% over
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
12 GP · 50% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
53.8% |
— |
13 |
| MID season |
66.7% |
— |
12 |
| Rest: 1 |
58.3% |
— |
12 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.
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