Pts+Reb+Ast
78.9%
15-4 · 19 GP
NBA 2025–26
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Denver Nuggets
Pts+Reb+Ast 78.9% Over (19 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Points
56.0%
42-33 · 75 GP
Threes Made
50.7%
38-37 · 75 GP
Rebounds
50.9%
29-28 · 57 GP
Assists
38.5%
5-8 · 13 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 15.5
Baseline — All Games
OVER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
78.9%
Record
15-4
Average
20.2
Median
20.0
Games Played
19
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 15.5
Over Rate
83.3%
Record
5-1
Average
18.3
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 11.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
56.0%
Record
42-33
Average
13.4
Median
14.0
Games Played
75
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 11.5
Over Rate
55.0%
Record
11-9
Average
12.4
GP at Line
20
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 57.1% | — | 14 |
| vs FAST pace | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 37.5% | — | 8 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.7%
Record
38-37
Average
2.8
Median
2.0
Games Played
75
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
49.0%
Record
25-26
Average
2.9
GP at Line
51
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 51.7% | — | 29 |
| vs FAST pace | 42.3% | — | 26 |
| AWAY | 45.5% | — | 22 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.9%
Record
29-28
Average
2.7
Median
2.0
Games Played
57
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
45.1%
Record
23-28
Average
2.7
GP at Line
51
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 28 |
| vs FAST pace | 36.0% | — | 25 |
| Rest: 1 | 41.7% | — | 24 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
38.5%
Record
5-8
Average
1.8
Median
1.0
Games Played
13
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
38.5%
Record
5-8
Average
1.8
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| vs FAST pace | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 42.9% | — | 7 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.