Points
44.6%
33-41 · 74 GP
NBA 2025–26
Tobias Harris
Detroit Pistons
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 44.6% (74 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
56.2%
41-32 · 73 GP
Threes Made
39.1%
27-42 · 69 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
60.7%
37-24 · 61 GP
Assists
47.4%
27-30 · 57 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 13.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.6%
Record
33-41
Average
13.6
Median
12.5
Games Played
74
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 13.5
Over Rate
32.3%
Record
10-21
Average
12.2
GP at Line
31
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
FanDuel
O/U 13.5
FanDuel
O/U 12.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 22.2% | — | 18 |
| Rest: 1 | 37.5% | — | 16 |
| MID season | 38.5% | — | 13 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
56.2%
Record
41-32
Average
5.3
Median
5.0
Games Played
73
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
63.6%
Record
21-12
Average
4.8
GP at Line
33
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 57.1% | — | 21 |
| AWAY | 65.0% | — | 20 |
| MID season | 55.6% | — | 18 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
39.1%
Record
27-42
Average
1.3
Median
1.0
Games Played
69
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
37.0%
Record
20-34
Average
1.4
GP at Line
54
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 34.4% | — | 32 |
| AWAY | 32.3% | — | 31 |
| vs MID pace | 38.5% | — | 26 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 20.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
60.7%
Record
37-24
Average
21.6
Median
22.0
Games Played
61
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 20.5
Over Rate
46.7%
Record
7-8
Average
21.0
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
FanDuel
O/U 19.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| vs MID pace | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 28.6% | — | 7 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.4%
Record
27-30
Average
2.4
Median
2.0
Games Played
57
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
41.0%
Record
16-23
Average
2.2
GP at Line
39
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 34.6% | — | 26 |
| AWAY | 45.0% | — | 20 |
| HOME | 36.8% | — | 19 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.