Points
62.1%
36-22 · 58 GP
NBA 2025–26
Tre Jones
Chicago Bulls
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 62.1% (58 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Assists
42.1%
24-33 · 57 GP
Rebounds
47.1%
24-27 · 51 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
58.0%
29-21 · 50 GP
Threes Made
28.6%
4-10 · 14 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 9.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
62.1%
Record
36-22
Average
13.1
Median
12.0
Games Played
58
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 9.5
Over Rate
78.6%
Record
11-3
Average
12.0
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 77.8% | — | 9 |
| vs FAST pace | 75.0% | — | 8 |
| Rest: 1 | 85.7% | — | 7 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.1%
Record
24-33
Average
5.3
Median
5.0
Games Played
57
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
57.1%
Record
12-9
Average
4.8
GP at Line
21
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 76.9% | — | 13 |
| Rest: 1 | 58.3% | — | 12 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 12 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.1%
Record
24-27
Average
3.1
Median
2.0
Games Played
51
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
39.4%
Record
13-20
Average
2.5
GP at Line
33
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 35.0% | — | 20 |
| Rest: 1 | 40.0% | — | 15 |
| vs FAST pace | 21.4% | — | 14 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 20.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
58.0%
Record
29-21
Average
21.3
Median
21.5
Games Played
50
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 20.5
Over Rate
55.6%
Record
5-4
Average
23.4
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 0.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
display
Over Rate
28.6%
Record
4-10
Average
0.3
Median
0.0
Games Played
14
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 0.5
Over Rate
28.6%
Record
4-10
Average
0.3
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 14.3% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| HOME | 28.6% | — | 7 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.