Rebounds
28.0%
7-18 · 25 GP
NBA 2025–26
Trendon Watford
Philadelphia 76ers
Rebounds 28.0% Under (25 GP) · 4 qualified cards · 3 strong signals
Pts+Reb+Ast
25.0%
5-15 · 20 GP
Assists
35.0%
7-13 · 20 GP
Points
37.0%
10-17 · 27 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
28.0%
Record
7-18
Average
4.0
Median
3.0
Games Played
25
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
35.7%
Record
5-9
Average
3.6
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 37.5% | — | 8 |
| HOME | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| vs FAST pace | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 15.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
25.0%
Record
5-15
Average
14.5
Median
12.5
Games Played
20
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 15.5
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
3-4
Average
16.3
GP at Line
7
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
35.0%
Record
7-13
Average
3.1
Median
2.0
Games Played
20
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
4-4
Average
3.6
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
37.0%
Record
10-17
Average
8.8
Median
7.0
Games Played
27
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
66.7%
Record
6-3
Average
11.2
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 6 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.