Rebounds
70.4%
19-8 · 27 GP
NBA 2025–26
Tyler Herro
Miami Heat
Rebounds 70.4% Over (27 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Pts+Reb+Ast
37.5%
12-20 · 32 GP
Threes Made
48.3%
14-15 · 29 GP
Points
39.3%
11-17 · 28 GP
Assists
48.1%
13-14 · 27 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
OVER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
70.4%
Record
19-8
Average
5.2
Median
5.0
Games Played
27
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
64.3%
Record
9-5
Average
5.4
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 9 |
| AWAY | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 31.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
12-20
Average
26.0
Median
28.0
Games Played
32
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 31.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
2-4
Average
28.7
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 31.5
DraftKings
O/U 29.5
DraftKings
O/U 30.5
DraftKings
O/U 28.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
48.3%
Record
14-15
Average
2.7
Median
2.0
Games Played
29
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
35.0%
Record
7-13
Average
2.5
GP at Line
20
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 38.5% | — | 13 |
| vs MID pace | 0.0% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 28.6% | — | 7 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 21.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
39.3%
Record
11-17
Average
21.4
Median
21.5
Games Played
28
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 21.5
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
3-5
Average
20.1
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 42.9% | — | 7 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
48.1%
Record
13-14
Average
4.1
Median
4.0
Games Played
27
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
38.5%
Record
5-8
Average
3.9
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| HOME | 16.7% | — | 6 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.