Points
51.5%
34-32 · 66 GP
NBA 2025–26
Tyrese Maxey
Philadelphia 76ers
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 51.5% (66 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Assists
50.0%
33-33 · 66 GP
Threes Made
43.1%
28-37 · 65 GP
Rebounds
47.7%
31-34 · 65 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
50.0%
32-32 · 64 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 28.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
51.5%
Record
34-32
Average
27.2
Median
28.0
Games Played
66
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 28.5
Over Rate
53.8%
Record
7-6
Average
30.9
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 28.5
DraftKings
O/U 30.5
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
DraftKings
O/U 27.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 60.0% | — | 10 |
| HOME | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| EARLY season | 66.7% | — | 6 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
33-33
Average
6.7
Median
7.0
Games Played
66
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
60.6%
Record
20-13
Average
7.1
GP at Line
33
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
FanDuel
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 72.7% | — | 22 |
| AWAY | 55.6% | — | 18 |
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 15 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
43.1%
Record
28-37
Average
3.1
Median
3.0
Games Played
65
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
46.7%
Record
21-24
Average
3.2
GP at Line
45
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 46.4% | — | 28 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 26 |
| Rest: 1 | 47.8% | — | 23 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.7%
Record
31-34
Average
3.8
Median
3.0
Games Played
65
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
48.9%
Record
22-23
Average
4.0
GP at Line
45
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 57.1% | — | 28 |
| HOME | 43.5% | — | 23 |
| AWAY | 54.5% | — | 22 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 39.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
32-32
Average
37.8
Median
38.5
Games Played
64
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 39.5
Over Rate
63.6%
Record
7-4
Average
36.5
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 39.5
DraftKings
O/U 38.5
DraftKings
O/U 41.5
DraftKings
O/U 42.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 62.5% | — | 8 |
| MID season | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| HOME | 42.9% | — | 7 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.