Points
23.8%
5-16 · 21 GP
NBA 2025–26
Tyus Jones
Orlando Magic
Points 23.8% Under (21 GP) · 2 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Assists
47.4%
9-10 · 19 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
23.8%
Record
5-16
Average
3.7
Median
3.0
Games Played
21
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
25.0%
Record
2-6
Average
4.9
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| MID season | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| vs FAST pace | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
47.4%
Record
9-10
Average
3.4
Median
3.0
Games Played
19
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
46.2%
Record
6-7
Average
3.3
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 50.0% | — | 10 |
| vs FAST pace | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 57.1% | — | 7 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.