Points
46.0%
23-27 · 50 GP
NBA 2025–26
Vit Krejci
Atlanta Hawks
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 46.0% (50 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
40.8%
20-29 · 49 GP
Rebounds
48.1%
13-14 · 27 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
47.4%
9-10 · 19 GP
Assists
35.3%
6-11 · 17 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.0%
Record
23-27
Average
8.3
Median
7.5
Games Played
50
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
6-8
Average
9.3
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| AWAY | 14.3% | — | 7 |
| HOME | 71.4% | — | 7 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
40.8%
Record
20-29
Average
1.9
Median
1.0
Games Played
49
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
38.2%
Record
13-21
Average
1.6
GP at Line
34
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 25.0% | — | 24 |
| Rest: 1 | 30.4% | — | 23 |
| HOME | 47.4% | — | 19 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
48.1%
Record
13-14
Average
2.2
Median
2.0
Games Played
27
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
47.4%
Record
9-10
Average
2.3
GP at Line
19
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 61.5% | — | 13 |
| MID season | 30.0% | — | 10 |
| HOME | 60.0% | — | 10 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 10.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
47.4%
Record
9-10
Average
14.3
Median
14.0
Games Played
19
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 10.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
2-3
Average
11.4
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
35.3%
Record
6-11
Average
1.5
Median
2.0
Games Played
17
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
44.4%
Record
4-5
Average
1.2
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| HOME | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| vs FAST pace | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.