Rebounds
40.2%
33-49 · 82 GP
NBA 2025–26
Wendell Carter Jr.
Orlando Magic
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Rebounds 40.2% (82 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
54.9%
45-37 · 82 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
50.0%
28-28 · 56 GP
Threes Made
40.0%
20-30 · 50 GP
Assists
38.1%
16-26 · 42 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 7.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
40.2%
Record
33-49
Average
7.4
Median
7.0
Games Played
82
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 7.5
Over Rate
37.8%
Record
17-28
Average
7.0
GP at Line
45
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
FanDuel
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 28.0% | — | 25 |
| vs FAST pace | 37.5% | — | 24 |
| HOME | 45.8% | — | 24 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 11.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
54.9%
Record
45-37
Average
11.9
Median
11.0
Games Played
82
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 11.5
Over Rate
45.5%
Record
10-12
Average
12.5
GP at Line
22
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 35.7% | — | 14 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 12 |
| AWAY | 40.0% | — | 10 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 21.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
28-28
Average
21.0
Median
21.5
Games Played
56
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 21.5
Over Rate
56.3%
Record
9-7
Average
21.8
GP at Line
16
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| AWAY | 62.5% | — | 8 |
| vs MID pace | 50.0% | — | 8 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 0.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
20-30
Average
0.9
Median
1.0
Games Played
50
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 0.5
Over Rate
48.4%
Record
15-16
Average
0.6
GP at Line
31
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 56.3% | — | 16 |
| AWAY | 40.0% | — | 15 |
| vs FAST pace | 46.7% | — | 15 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
38.1%
Record
16-26
Average
2.0
Median
2.0
Games Played
42
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
15-10
Average
2.0
GP at Line
25
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 62.5% | — | 16 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 14 |
| vs FAST pace | 66.7% | — | 12 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.