Threes Made
23.3%
7-23 · 30 GP
NBA 2025–26
Will Richard
Golden State Warriors
Threes Made 23.3% Under (30 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 2 strong signals
Pts+Reb+Ast
33.3%
7-14 · 21 GP
Points
40.5%
17-25 · 42 GP
Rebounds
36.4%
12-21 · 33 GP
Assists
20.0%
2-8 · 10 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
feature
Over Rate
23.3%
Record
7-23
Average
0.8
Median
1.0
Games Played
30
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
18.2%
Record
4-18
Average
1.0
GP at Line
22
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 23.1% | — | 13 |
| vs FAST pace | 25.0% | — | 12 |
| HOME | 11.1% | — | 9 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 12.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
7-14
Average
11.2
Median
8.0
Games Played
21
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 12.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
2-3
Average
10.6
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 7.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
40.5%
Record
17-25
Average
6.8
Median
5.0
Games Played
42
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 7.5
Over Rate
44.4%
Record
4-5
Average
9.3
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 57.1% | — | 7 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
36.4%
Record
12-21
Average
2.8
Median
2.0
Games Played
33
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
9-9
Average
2.9
GP at Line
18
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 54.5% | — | 11 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 10 |
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 8 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
display
Over Rate
20.0%
Record
2-8
Average
1.5
Median
1.0
Games Played
10
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
14.3%
Record
1-6
Average
1.6
GP at Line
7
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.