Rebounds
32.1%
9-19 · 28 GP
NBA 2025–26
Will Riley
Washington Wizards
Rebounds 32.1% Under (28 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Points
50.0%
17-17 · 34 GP
Threes Made
60.0%
15-10 · 25 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
47.1%
8-9 · 17 GP
Assists
61.5%
8-5 · 13 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
32.1%
Record
9-19
Average
3.5
Median
3.0
Games Played
28
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
9.1%
Record
1-10
Average
3.4
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 0.0% | — | 7 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 13.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
17-17
Average
12.9
Median
13.0
Games Played
34
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 13.5
Over Rate
57.1%
Record
4-3
Average
14.0
GP at Line
7
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
15-10
Average
1.8
Median
1.0
Games Played
25
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
9-9
Average
1.9
GP at Line
18
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 63.6% | — | 11 |
| AWAY | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| vs FAST pace | 57.1% | — | 7 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 22.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
47.1%
Record
8-9
Average
21.4
Median
19.0
Games Played
17
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 22.5
Over Rate
28.6%
Record
2-5
Average
19.6
GP at Line
7
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
61.5%
Record
8-5
Average
3.2
Median
3.0
Games Played
13
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
58.3%
Record
7-5
Average
3.0
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 62.5% | — | 8 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.