Points
48.3%
28-30 · 58 GP
NBA 2025–26
Zaccharie Risacher
Atlanta Hawks
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 48.3% (58 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
59.3%
32-22 · 54 GP
Threes Made
37.7%
20-33 · 53 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
36.4%
8-14 · 22 GP
Assists
42.9%
6-8 · 14 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 9.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.3%
Record
28-30
Average
10.2
Median
9.0
Games Played
58
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 9.5
Over Rate
54.5%
Record
6-5
Average
9.4
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| vs FAST pace | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 6 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
59.3%
Record
32-22
Average
3.8
Median
3.0
Games Played
54
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
44.0%
Record
11-14
Average
3.6
GP at Line
25
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 40.0% | — | 15 |
| AWAY | 46.2% | — | 13 |
| HOME | 41.7% | — | 12 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
37.7%
Record
20-33
Average
1.6
Median
1.0
Games Played
53
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
35.6%
Record
16-29
Average
1.5
GP at Line
45
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 38.5% | — | 26 |
| Rest: 1 | 36.0% | — | 25 |
| AWAY | 26.1% | — | 23 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 17.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
36.4%
Record
8-14
Average
14.3
Median
14.5
Games Played
22
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 17.5
Over Rate
20.0%
Record
1-4
Average
14.0
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
6-8
Average
1.4
Median
1.0
Games Played
14
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
6-8
Average
1.4
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 37.5% | — | 8 |
| vs MID pace | 14.3% | — | 7 |
| vs FAST pace | 71.4% | — | 7 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.