Points
49.2%
32-33 · 65 GP
NBA 2025–26
Zion Williamson
New Orleans Pelicans
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 49.2% (65 GP) · 4 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
40.6%
26-38 · 64 GP
Assists
41.3%
26-37 · 63 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
47.6%
30-33 · 63 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 20.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
49.2%
Record
32-33
Average
20.5
Median
21.0
Games Played
65
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 20.5
Over Rate
54.5%
Record
6-5
Average
20.5
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| MID season | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| vs FAST pace | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
40.6%
Record
26-38
Average
6.0
Median
6.0
Games Played
64
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
58.6%
Record
17-12
Average
6.2
GP at Line
29
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 64.7% | — | 17 |
| AWAY | 68.8% | — | 16 |
| Rest: 1 | 64.3% | — | 14 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
41.3%
Record
26-37
Average
3.4
Median
4.0
Games Played
63
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
48.6%
Record
18-19
Average
3.2
GP at Line
37
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 58.3% | — | 24 |
| AWAY | 55.0% | — | 20 |
| MID season | 50.0% | — | 20 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 28.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.6%
Record
30-33
Average
29.8
Median
32.0
Games Played
63
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 28.5
Over Rate
55.6%
Record
5-4
Average
27.9
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 34.5
DraftKings
O/U 28.5
DraftKings
O/U 32.5
DraftKings
O/U 31.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| HOME | 40.0% | — | 5 |
| MID season | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.