NBA 2025–26

Atlanta Hawks Betting Profile

Atlanta Hawks games go over 60.5% on the road, averaging +3 points above the closing total.

Atlanta Hawks

78 games

ATS39–37

O/U40–37

51.9% over the closing total

After a Loss

34 games

ATS15–19

O/U17–17

34 games after a straight-up loss this season

ATS · Home

18–20

47.4% against the spread

39 games

ATS · Away

21–17

55.3% against the spread

39 games

O/U · Home

17–22

43.6% over the closing total

39 games · avg -2.3 pts

O/U · Away

23–15

60.5% over the closing total

39 games · avg +3 pts

Strongest Plays

Over in close home games

64.3%

14 games · margin ≤10

Over at home, 2 days rest

62.5%

8 games · +0.5 vs close

Home cover on 2 days rest

62.5%

8 games

Home vs Away

Home (39 games)

PPG117.9

Opponent PPG115.4

Avg Total233.3

Close-Game Over %64.3%

Blowout Rate51.3%

Away (39 games)

PPG118.4

Opponent PPG118.1

Avg Total236.5

Over %60.5%

Cover %55.3%

Over rate is 17 points higher on the road (60.5% vs 43.6% at home).

Rest Splits (Home)

Rest	Games	Over %	vs Close	Cover %
Back-to-back	8	12.5%	-11.3	25%
1 day rest	22	45.5%	-1	52.4%
2 days rest	8	62.5%	+0.5	62.5%
3+ days rest	1	100%	+18.5	0%

Rest Splits (Away)

Rest	Games	Over %	vs Close	Cover %
Back-to-back	4	75%	+3	75%
1 day rest	27	50%	+1.1	53.8%
2 days rest	3	100%	+12.5	100%
3+ days rest	5	80%	+6.9	20%

Largest Over Beats (Home)

Date	Opponent	Score	Total	Line	vs Close
Dec 21	Bulls	150-152	302	248.5	+53.5
Dec 6	Nuggets	133-134	267	238.5	+28.5
Oct 22	Raptors	118-138	256	237.5	+18.5
Nov 29	Cavaliers	130-123	253	236.5	+16.5
Jan 26	Pacers	132-116	248	234.5	+13.5

Opening vs Closing Lines

8 home games with opening and closing line data.

Date	Opponent	Open	Close	Move	Actual	vs Close	Result
Dec 21	Bulls	248.5	248.5	+0	302	+53.5	OVER
Dec 6	Nuggets	238.5	238.5	+0	267	+28.5	OVER
Oct 22	Raptors	237.5	237.5	+0	256	+18.5	OVER
Nov 29	Cavaliers	236.5	236.5	+0	253	+16.5	OVER
Jan 26	Pacers	234.5	234.5	+0	248	+13.5	OVER
Oct 16	Rockets	234.5	234.5	+0	248	+13.5	OVER
Feb 8	Hornets	232.5	232.5	+0	245	+12.5	OVER
Mar 23	Grizzlies	240.5	241	+0.5	253	+12	OVER

Upcoming Schedule

6 games remaining.

Date	Matchup	Rest	Profile Signal
Mar 28	vs Kings HOME · B2B	B2B	Standard
Mar 30	vs Celtics HOME	1 days	Standard
Apr 1	@ Magic AWAY	1 days	Road over in profile
Apr 3	@ Nets AWAY	1 days	Road over in profile
Apr 6	vs New York HOME	2 days	Standard
Apr 8	@ Cavaliers AWAY	1 days	Road over in profile

Recent Game Log

Date	Opponent	Score	Total	Line	vs Close	O/U
Mar 27	@ Celtics	109-102	211	—	—	N/A
Mar 25	@ Pistons	129-130	259	229.5	+29.5	OVER
Mar 23	Grizzlies	146-107	253	241	+12	OVER
Mar 22	Golden State	126-110	236	237.5	-1.5	UNDER
Mar 21	@ Rockets	117-95	212	227	-15	UNDER
Mar 19	@ Mavericks	120-135	255	239.5	+15.5	OVER
Mar 16	Magic	124-112	236	232.5	+3.5	OVER
Mar 14	Bucks	122-99	221	228.5	-7.5	UNDER
Mar 12	Nets	108-97	205	226.5	-21.5	UNDER
Mar 10	Mavericks	124-112	236	240.5	-4.5	UNDER
Mar 7	76ers	125-116	241	234.5	+6.5	OVER
Mar 5	@ Bucks	113-131	244	232.5	+11.5	OVER
Mar 1	Portland	135-101	236	235.5	+0.5	OVER
Feb 27	Wizards	126-96	222	236.5	-14.5	UNDER
Feb 25	Wizards	119-98	217	236.5	-19.5	UNDER

Methodology

Data: 2025-26 NBA regular season through 2026-03-27 (78 games: 39 home, 39 away).
vs Close: actual combined score minus closing total. Games without a verified closing line are excluded from O/U percentages.
Close game: final margin ≤ 10 points.
O/U computed on 39 of 39 home games and 38 of 39 away games with verified lines.

For live intelligence, visit Ref Tendencies.