NBA 2025–26

Boston Celtics Betting Profile

Boston Celtics are 15-23 O/U at home and 12-26 on the road this season.

Boston Celtics

77 games

ATS43–32

O/U27–49

57.3% against the spread

After a Loss

25 games

ATS17–8

O/U10–15

Boston Celtics cover 68% of the time after a loss

ATS · Home

19–18

51.4% against the spread

39 games

ATS · Away

24–14

63.2% against the spread

38 games

O/U · Home

15–23

39.5% over the closing total

39 games · avg -3.9 pts

O/U · Away

12–26

31.6% over the closing total

38 games · avg -5.2 pts

Strongest Plays

Over at home, 3+ days rest

75%

4 games · +5.3 vs close

Cover after a loss

68%

25 games

Road cover (all rest)

63.2%

38 games

Home vs Away

Home (39 games)

PPG114.6

Opponent PPG107

Avg Total221.6

Close-Game Over %38.9%

Blowout Rate41%

Away (38 games)

PPG114.1

Opponent PPG106.8

Avg Total220.8

Over %31.6%

Cover %63.2%

Rest Splits (Home)

Rest	Games	Over %	vs Close	Cover %
Back-to-back	4	50%	-8.3	50%
1 day rest	26	32%	-4.9	54.2%
2 days rest	5	40%	-3.1	60%
3+ days rest	4	75%	+5.3	25%

Rest Splits (Away)

Rest	Games	Over %	vs Close	Cover %
Back-to-back	7	0%	-16.5	71.4%
1 day rest	24	37.5%	-4.1	54.2%
2 days rest	3	33.3%	-9.5	100%
3+ days rest	4	50%	+11.3	75%

Largest Over Beats (Home)

Date	Opponent	Score	Total	Line	vs Close
Feb 28	Nets	148-111	259	208.5	+50.5
Nov 23	Magic	138-129	267	223.5	+43.5
Nov 16	Clippers	121-118	239	218.5	+20.5
Jan 10	Raptors	125-117	242	223.5	+18.5
Mar 16	Suns	120-112	232	216.5	+15.5

Opening vs Closing Lines

8 home games with opening and closing line data.

Date	Opponent	Open	Close	Move	Actual	vs Close	Result
Feb 28	Nets	208.5	208.5	+0	259	+50.5	OVER
Nov 23	Magic	223.5	223.5	+0	267	+43.5	OVER
Nov 16	Clippers	218.5	218.5	+0	239	+20.5	OVER
Jan 10	Raptors	223.5	223.5	+0	242	+18.5	OVER
Mar 16	Suns	214.5	216.5	+2	232	+15.5	OVER
Oct 12	Cavaliers	232.5	232.5	+0	245	+12.5	OVER
Dec 20	Heat	233.5	233.5	+0	245	+11.5	OVER
Nov 6	Wizards	232.5	232.5	+0	243	+10.5	OVER

Upcoming Schedule

6 games remaining.

Date	Matchup	Rest	Profile Signal
Mar 29	@ Hornets AWAY	1 days	Road cover in profile
Mar 30	@ Hawks AWAY · B2B	B2B	Road cover in profile
Apr 1	@ Heat AWAY	1 days	Road cover in profile
Apr 4	@ Bucks AWAY	1 days	Road cover in profile
Apr 5	vs Raptors HOME	1 days	Standard
Apr 8	vs Hornets HOME	1 days	Standard

Recent Game Log

Date	Opponent	Score	Total	Line	vs Close	O/U
Mar 27	Hawks	109-102	211	—	—	N/A
Mar 25	OKC	119-109	228	222.5	+5.5	OVER
Mar 23	Minnesota	92-102	194	221.5	-27.5	UNDER
Mar 21	@ Grizzlies	112-117	229	229	+0	PUSH
Mar 18	Golden State	120-99	219	216.5	+2.5	OVER
Mar 16	Suns	120-112	232	216.5	+15.5	OVER
Mar 14	Wizards	111-100	211	232.5	-21.5	UNDER
Mar 13	@ OKC	104-102	206	216.5	-10.5	UNDER
Mar 11	@ San Antonio	125-116	241	221.5	+19.5	OVER
Mar 8	@ Cavaliers	98-109	207	224.5	-17.5	UNDER
Mar 7	Mavericks	120-100	220	226.5	-6.5	UNDER
Mar 5	Hornets	89-118	207	214.5	-7.5	UNDER
Mar 3	@ Bucks	81-108	189	216.5	-27.5	UNDER
Mar 2	76ers	114-98	212	219.5	-7.5	UNDER
Feb 28	Nets	148-111	259	208.5	+50.5	OVER

Methodology

Data: 2025-26 NBA regular season through 2026-03-27 (77 games: 39 home, 38 away).
vs Close: actual combined score minus closing total. Games without a verified closing line are excluded from O/U percentages.
Close game: final margin ≤ 10 points.
O/U computed on 38 of 39 home games and 38 of 38 away games with verified lines.

For live intelligence, visit Ref Tendencies.