Charlotte Hornets
79 games
ATS48–29
O/U33–45
62.3% against the spread
NBA 2025–26
Charlotte Hornets Betting Profile
Charlotte Hornets cover 62.2% at home this season.
After a Loss
37 games
ATS25–12
O/U16–21
Charlotte Hornets cover 67.6% of the time after a loss
ATS · Home
23–14
62.2% against the spread
39 games
ATS · Away
25–15
62.5% against the spread
40 games
O/U · Home
15–23
39.5% over the closing total
39 games · avg -3.5 pts
O/U · Away
18–22
45% over the closing total
40 games · avg -1.3 pts
Strongest Plays
1
Over at home, 3+ days rest
83.3%
6 games · +17.7 vs close
2
Home cover on back-to-back
83.3%
6 games
3
Cover after a loss
67.6%
37 games
Home vs Away
Home (39 games)
PPG115.9
Opponent PPG111.8
Avg Total227.7
Close-Game Over %40%
Blowout Rate41%
Away (40 games)
PPG117.2
Opponent PPG112.7
Avg Total229.9
Over %45%
Cover %62.5%
Rest Splits (Home)
| Rest | Games | Over % | vs Close | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Back-to-back | 6 | 16.7% | -6.3 | 83.3% |
| 1 day rest | 19 | 27.8% | -7.6 | 64.7% |
| 2 days rest | 8 | 50% | -8 | 37.5% |
| 3+ days rest | 6 | 83.3% | +17.7 | 66.7% |
Rest Splits (Away)
| Rest | Games | Over % | vs Close | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Back-to-back | 8 | 37.5% | -5.5 | 75% |
| 1 day rest | 25 | 48% | -0.4 | 56% |
| 2 days rest | 6 | 33.3% | -0.7 | 66.7% |
| 3+ days rest | 1 | 100% | +6.5 | 100% |
Largest Over Beats (Home)
| Date | Opponent | Score | Total | Line | vs Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | OKC | 114-135 | 249 | 222.5 | +26.5 |
| Dec 13 | Bulls | 126-129 | 255 | 229.5 | +25.5 |
| Oct 22 | Nets | 136-117 | 253 | 228.5 | +24.5 |
| Oct 15 | Grizzlies | 145-116 | 261 | 237.5 | +23.5 |
| Dec 31 | Golden State | 125-132 | 257 | 234.5 | +22.5 |
Opening vs Closing Lines
8 home games with opening and closing line data.
| Date | Opponent | Open | Close | Move | Actual | vs Close | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | OKC | 222.5 | 222.5 | +0 | 249 | +26.5 | OVER |
| Dec 13 | Bulls | 229.5 | 229.5 | +0 | 255 | +25.5 | OVER |
| Oct 22 | Nets | 228.5 | 228.5 | +0 | 253 | +24.5 | OVER |
| Oct 15 | Grizzlies | 237.5 | 237.5 | +0 | 261 | +23.5 | OVER |
| Dec 31 | Golden State | 234.5 | 234.5 | +0 | 257 | +22.5 | OVER |
| Nov 22 | Clippers | 227.5 | 227.5 | +0 | 247 | +19.5 | OVER |
| Mar 7 | Heat | 230.5 | 229.5 | -1 | 248 | +18.5 | OVER |
| Dec 19 | Hawks | 240.5 | 240.5 | +0 | 259 | +18.5 | OVER |
Upcoming Schedule
6 games remaining.
| Date | Matchup | Rest | Profile Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29 | vs Celtics HOME · B2B |
B2B | Home cover in profile |
| Mar 31 | @ Nets AWAY |
1 days | Road cover in profile |
| Apr 2 | vs Suns HOME |
1 days | Home cover in profile |
| Apr 3 | vs Pacers HOME · B2B |
B2B | Home cover in profile |
| Apr 5 | @ Minnesota AWAY |
1 days | Road cover in profile |
| Apr 8 | @ Celtics AWAY |
1 days | Road cover in profile |
Recent Game Log
| Date | Opponent | Score | Total | Line | vs Close | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28 | 76ers | 114-118 | 232 | 232 | +0 | PUSH |
| Mar 26 | New York | 114-103 | 217 | — | — | N/A |
| Mar 24 | Kings | 134-90 | 224 | 233.5 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 21 | Grizzlies | 124-101 | 225 | 222 | +3 | OVER |
| Mar 19 | Magic | 130-111 | 241 | 225.5 | +15.5 | OVER |
| Mar 17 | Heat | 136-106 | 242 | 236.5 | +5.5 | OVER |
| Mar 14 | @ San Antonio | 115-102 | 217 | 232.5 | -15.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 12 | @ Kings | 109-117 | 226 | 224.5 | +1.5 | OVER |
| Mar 11 | @ Portland | 101-103 | 204 | 227.5 | -23.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 9 | @ Suns | 111-99 | 210 | 218.5 | -8.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 7 | Heat | 120-128 | 248 | 229.5 | +18.5 | OVER |
| Mar 5 | @ Celtics | 89-118 | 207 | 214.5 | -7.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 4 | Mavericks | 117-90 | 207 | 226.5 | -19.5 | UNDER |
| Feb 28 | Portland | 109-93 | 202 | 228.5 | -26.5 | UNDER |
| Feb 27 | @ Pacers | 109-133 | 242 | 229.5 | +12.5 | OVER |
Methodology
- Data: 2025-26 NBA regular season through 2026-03-28 (79 games: 39 home, 40 away).
- vs Close: actual combined score minus closing total. Games without a verified closing line are excluded from O/U percentages.
- Close game: final margin ≤ 10 points.
- O/U computed on 38 of 39 home games and 40 of 40 away games with verified lines.
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